Posted by: bluesyemre | March 10, 2021

Predicting the unpredictable – Forecasting in 2020

The year 2020 was a particularly difficult one for economic and political forecasting. Despite the challenges presented by the coronavirus pandemic, none of our regional and only a few of our country-level forecasts changed significantly starting from June last year.

In this retrospective report, we asked our analysts how they approached forecasting throughout a year like no other. From correctly predicting the course of the pandemic, through to our spot-on US presidential election call, this report provides exclusive insight into the methodology behind our forecasts.

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